Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Rep. Of Ireland

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Israel

What Janus-12 said

85%

Rep. Of Ireland or draw

79% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Rep. Of Ireland or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 3 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

54% success over 28 matches in this league
65%✗

League B - Group C

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Austria	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Kosovo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
3	Rep. Of Ireland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
4	Israel	4	0	2	2	-5	2

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Rep. Of Ireland or draw85%held
- Rep. Of Ireland were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Rep. Of Ireland against 2.
Rep. Of Ireland to win65%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Rep. Of Ireland had 16 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRep. Of Ireland 3rd, Israel 4th (League B - Group C)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Rep. Of Ireland (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ equaliser, Israel (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Rep. Of Ireland or draw” goes from 78.6% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Rep. Of Ireland on the left, Israel on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Idan Nachmias28'
36'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Jimmy Dunne
Yellow card · Dor Peretz38'
39'Penalty goal · Troy Parrott
44'Yellow card · Liam Scales

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Goal · Dor Peretz47'
Substitution · Ethane Azoulay ⇄ Yarin Levi58'
Substitution · Dor Turgeman ⇄ Omri Gandelman58'
69'Substitution · Jack Moylan ⇄ Chiedozie Ogbene
69'Substitution · Adam Idah ⇄ Rocco Vata
Substitution · Liel Abada ⇄ Manor Solomon72'
Substitution · Ilay Feingold ⇄ Eli Dasa78'
Substitution · Dor Peretz ⇄ Yarden Shua78'
84'Substitution · Conor Coventry ⇄ Bosun Lawal
84'Substitution · Ryan Manning ⇄ Joel Bagan
Yellow card · Yarin Levi90+2'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Rep. Of Ireland or draw85%held
- Rep. Of Ireland were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Rep. Of Ireland against 2.
Rep. Of Ireland to win65%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Rep. Of Ireland had 16 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRep. Of Ireland 3rd, Israel 4th (League B - Group C)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Rep. Of Ireland (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ equaliser, Israel (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Rep. Of Ireland or draw” goes from 78.6% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League B - Group C

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes