Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Wales

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Denmark

What Janus-12 said

77%

Draw or Denmark

79% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Denmark

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 3 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

54% success over 28 matches in this league
51%✓

League A - Group D

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	L	Diff	Pts
1	Portugal	4	4	0	+5	12
2	Denmark	4	2	2	0	6
3	Wales	4	1	3	-3	3
4	Norway	4	1	3	-2	3

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Denmark77%held
- Denmark took the lead in the 75th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Denmark against 1.
Denmark to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWales 3rd, Denmark 2nd (League A - Group D)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match75′ opening goal, Denmark (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Denmark” goes from 78.6% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Wales on the left, Denmark on the right.

First half

Substitution · Pierre-Emile Højbjerg ⇄ Andreas Skov Olsen10'
29'Yellow card · Liam Cullen

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

56'Substitution · Jordan James ⇄ Josh Sheehan
56'Substitution · Lewis Koumas ⇄ Mark Harris
66'Yellow card · Ben Cabango
Penalty goal · Rasmus Hojlund75'
Substitution · Rasmus Kristensen ⇄ Anton Gaaei76'
76'Substitution · Liam Cullen ⇄ Joel Colwill
76'Substitution · Brennan Johnson ⇄ Wes Burns
80'Yellow card · Sorba Thomas
Substitution · Rasmus Hojlund ⇄ Kasper Hogh82'
Substitution · Gustav Isaksen ⇄ Mathias Kvistgaarden82'
83'Substitution · Ben Davies ⇄ Kieffer Moore

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Denmark77%held
- Denmark took the lead in the 75th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Denmark against 1.
Denmark to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWales 3rd, Denmark 2nd (League A - Group D)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match75′ opening goal, Denmark (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Denmark” goes from 78.6% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League A - Group D

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes