Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Greece

0–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–0

Germany

What Janus-12 said

75%

Draw or Germany

79% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Germany

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 3 days before kick-off

League A - Group B

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Netherlands	4	2	2	0	+2	8
2	Greece	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Germany	4	1	2	1	+1	5
4	Serbia	4	0	0	4	-5	0

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Germany75%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Germany against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGreece 2nd, Germany 3rd (League A - Group B)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Germany” goes from 78.6% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Greece on the left, Germany on the right.

First half

23'Yellow card · Konstantinos Tsimikas
VAR: Goal cancelled · Jonathan Burkardt32'
Yellow card · Waldemar Anton36'
45'Substitution · Alexandros Kyziridis ⇄ Athanasios Androutsos
45'Substitution · Vangelis Pavlidis ⇄ Konstantinos Karetsas

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

53'Yellow card · Christos Zafeiris
Substitution · Lennart Karl ⇄ Said El Mala63'
Substitution · Jonathan Burkardt ⇄ Nick Woltemade63'
Yellow card · Philipp Treu66'
68'Substitution · Dimitrios Kourbelis ⇄ Christos Mouzakitis
73'Yellow card · Ivan Jovanović
78'Substitution · Konstantinos Mavropanos ⇄ Panagiotis Retsos
79'Yellow card · Manolis Saliakas
Substitution · Derry Lionel Scherhant ⇄ Bambasé Conté83'
Substitution · Tom Bischof ⇄ Mika Baur83'
88'Substitution · Fotis Ioannidis ⇄ Charalampos Kostoulas
Yellow card · Malick Thiaw90'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Germany75%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Germany against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGreece 2nd, Germany 3rd (League A - Group B)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Germany” goes from 78.6% to 79.3% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League A - Group B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes