Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie B (Brazil) · Brazil

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Tuesday 6 October at 23:30. Originally planned for Tuesday 6 October at 20:00.

Change noted on 23/09.

Sport Recife

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

São Bernardo

What Janus-12 said

75%

Sport Recife or draw

90% success over 10 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Sport Recife or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/10, 23:30.

Sealed on 06/10, 23:30announced on 01/10/2026, 5 days before kick-off

Serie B

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Vila Nova	31	17	6	8	+13	57
2	Juventude	31	16	8	7	+16	56
3	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	+25	54
4	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	+6	53
5	Fortaleza	31	14	11	6	+9	53
6	Atletico GO	31	14	10	7	+12	52
7	CRB	31	14	6	11	+2	48
8	Operario-PR	31	13	9	9	+2	48
9	Sport Recife	31	12	11	8	+9	47
10	Cuiaba	31	11	13	7	+7	46
11	São Bernardo	31	12	9	10	+11	45
12	Goias	31	12	6	13	-9	42
13	Nautico Recife	31	11	9	11	+1	42
14	Athletic Club	31	10	12	9	+2	42
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	-5	39
16	Botafogo SP	31	9	8	14	-3	35
17	Avai	31	8	6	17	-12	30
18	Londrina	31	7	7	17	-6	28
19	America MG	31	4	5	22	-31	17
20	Ponte Preta	31	3	4	24	-49	13

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sport Recife or draw75%held
- Sport Recife took the lead in the 86th minute and never let it go.
- Sport Recife took control early: opening goal in the 17th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSport Recife 9th, São Bernardo 11th (Serie B)

During the match

During the match17′ opening goal, Sport Recife (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match46′ equaliser, São Bernardo (1-1)
During the match86′ Sport Recife retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Sport Recife or draw” goes from 90% to 90.9% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sport Recife on the left, São Bernardo on the right.

First half

10'Yellow card · Mariano Andrés Soso
17'Goal · Neto Pessoa (assist : Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida)
40'Yellow card · Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida
43'Yellow card · Raí Lopes de Oliveira

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Goal · Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes (assist : Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva)46'
Yellow card · Fabrício Daniel53'
59'Substitution · Juan ⇄ Kervin Andrade
59'Substitution · Raí Lopes de Oliveira ⇄ Edson Lucas Pereira
Substitution · Fabrício Daniel ⇄ Lucas Fernandes65'
Yellow card · Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães67'
69'Substitution · Neto Pessoa ⇄ Pedro Henrique Perotti
Substitution · Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva ⇄ Foguinho73'
Substitution · Felipe Garcia ⇄ Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva73'
Yellow card · Jemerson76'
Substitution · Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes ⇄ Lucas Rian Santos Oliveira78'
Substitution · Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque ⇄ Romisson78'
79'Substitution · Claudinho ⇄ Augusto Pucci De Freitas
79'Substitution · Carlos María de Pena Bonino ⇄ Arthur Maron Cruz
Yellow card · Luiz Gustavo Oliveira da Silva82'
86'Goal · Patrick de Paula Carreiro
87'Yellow card · Patrick de Paula Carreiro
90+5'Yellow card · Habraão Lincon do Nascimento Saraiva

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sport Recife or draw75%held
- Sport Recife took the lead in the 86th minute and never let it go.
- Sport Recife took control early: opening goal in the 17th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSport Recife 9th, São Bernardo 11th (Serie B)

During the match

During the match17′ opening goal, Sport Recife (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match46′ equaliser, São Bernardo (1-1)
During the match86′ Sport Recife retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Sport Recife or draw” goes from 90% to 90.9% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes