Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 4 October at 19:30. Originally planned for Saturday 3 October at 21:00.

Change noted on 26/09.

San Telmo

3–2full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–1

Almirante Brown

What Janus-12 said

96%

Under 4.5 goals

98% success over 136 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 4 %

A prediction at 96 % fails 4 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 2 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 19:30announced on 20/09/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

88% success over 136 matches in this league
87%✗
79% success over 140 matches in this league
72%✓
64% success over 136 matches in this league
71%✗
56% success over 135 matches in this league
57%✓

Group 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	+9	61
2	Deportivo Moron	32	17	7	8	+19	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	+13	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	+18	53
5	Colon Santa Fe	32	14	10	8	+14	52
6	Almirante Brown	32	12	10	10	+4	46
7	CA Estudiantes	32	12	9	11	+2	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	11	12	9	-1	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	+2	40
10	Chaco For Ever	32	9	10	13	-3	37
11	Defensores De Belgrano	32	8	13	11	-4	37
12	San Telmo	32	9	10	13	-8	37
13	Racing Cordoba	32	9	10	13	-10	37
14	Atletico Mitre	32	7	14	11	-10	35
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	-9	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	-10	33
17	San Miguel	32	6	13	13	-13	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	-13	29

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals96%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 10th minute, 5 in total.
Under 3.5 goals87%lost
San Telmo or draw72%held
- San Telmo took the lead in the 10th minute and never let it go.
- San Telmo took control early: opening goal in the 10th minute.
Under 2.5 goals71%lost
Over 1.5 goals57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSan Telmo 12th, Almirante Brown 6th (Group 1)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, San Telmo (1-0)
During the match11′ San Telmo go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
Line-up52′ the goal came off the bench: J. Porto (San Telmo)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.8% to 97.1% success rate, over 137 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

San Telmo on the left, Almirante Brown on the right.

First half

10'Goal · E. Britez (assist : M. Gonzalez)
11'Goal · M. Batallini (assist : N. Molina)
36'Yellow card · J. Motroni
Goal · M. Zanotti39'

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

46'Substitution · M. Batallini ⇄ R. Gamarra
46'Substitution · J. Motroni ⇄ J. Porto
52'Goal · J. Porto (assist : N. Molina)
Goal · L. Jara62'
Substitution · G. Flores ⇄ J. Lopez63'
Substitution · M. Levi ⇄ G. Moreyra63'
69'Yellow card · M. Gonzalez
72'Substitution · M. Gonzalez ⇄ R. Dinocco
74'Yellow card
Yellow card · M. Abreliano74'
Substitution · L. Pascual ⇄ E. Martinez82'
Substitution · M. Zanotti ⇄ T. Zarate84'
Substitution · L. Jara ⇄ S. Gauna84'
84'Substitution · R. Uriburu ⇄ G. Paredes
90+1'Substitution · N. Molina ⇄ C. Nunez

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals96%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 10th minute, 5 in total.
Under 3.5 goals87%lost
San Telmo or draw72%held
- San Telmo took the lead in the 10th minute and never let it go.
- San Telmo took control early: opening goal in the 10th minute.
Under 2.5 goals71%lost
Over 1.5 goals57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSan Telmo 12th, Almirante Brown 6th (Group 1)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, San Telmo (1-0)
During the match11′ San Telmo go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
Line-up52′ the goal came off the bench: J. Porto (San Telmo)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.8% to 97.1% success rate, over 137 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes