Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 4 October at 19:30. Originally planned for Saturday 3 October at 21:00.

Change noted on 26/09.

Chacarita Juniors

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Patronato

What Janus-12 said

95%

Under 4.5 goals

98% success over 136 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
Betsson
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 19:30announced on 20/09/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

88% success over 136 matches in this league
85%✓
79% success over 140 matches in this league
70%✓
64% success over 136 matches in this league
67%✓
56% success over 135 matches in this league
59%✗

Group 2

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	+17	58
2	Temperley	32	15	11	6	+12	56
3	Atlanta	32	17	4	11	+8	55
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	+8	54
5	Midland	32	13	9	10	+8	48
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	32	13	9	10	+4	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	+8	47
8	Colegiales	32	13	7	12	+1	46
9	San Martin S.J.	32	12	9	11	+2	45
10	San Martin T.	32	10	13	9	+3	43
11	Atl. Rafaela	32	11	9	12	-3	42
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	+3	39
13	Almagro	32	10	8	14	-10	38
14	Agropecuario	32	9	10	13	-9	37
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	-7	36
16	Patronato	32	6	16	10	-5	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	32	9	6	17	-9	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	32	5	8	19	-31	23

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals95%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 76th minute, on the Patronato side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 3.5 goals85%held
Chacarita Juniors or draw70%held
- Patronato played 14 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 76th minute.
- Chacarita Juniors took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
Under 2.5 goals67%held
Over 1.5 goals59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableChacarita Juniors 17th, Patronato 16th (Group 2)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match76′ sending-off, Patronato (J. Barolin)
During the match90′ opening goal, Chacarita Juniors (1-0)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: M. Cuero (Chacarita Juniors)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.8% to 97.8% success rate, over 137 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Chacarita Juniors on the left, Patronato on the right.

First half

Substitution · J. Salas ⇄ J. Barolin36'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Substitution · F. Soldano ⇄ S. Piccioni46'
Substitution · J. P. Barinaga ⇄ B. Bravo46'
Substitution · R. Reynaga ⇄ T. Attis60'
Yellow card · F. Meritello63'
66'Substitution · T. Perez ⇄ M. Cuero
66'Substitution · M. Sanabria ⇄ F. Cristaldo
69'Yellow card · M. Leyendeker
71'Yellow card · A. Cuello
74'Substitution · S. Acosta ⇄ F. Facello
Red card · J. Barolin76'
82'Substitution · N. Pantaleone ⇄ T. Migliore
82'Substitution · N. Chaves ⇄ L. Alfonzo
86'Yellow card · F. Cristaldo
Yellow card · F. Evangelista90'
90+4'Goal · M. Cuero
90+5'Yellow card · M. Cuero

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals95%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 76th minute, on the Patronato side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 3.5 goals85%held
Chacarita Juniors or draw70%held
- Patronato played 14 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 76th minute.
- Chacarita Juniors took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
Under 2.5 goals67%held
Over 1.5 goals59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableChacarita Juniors 17th, Patronato 16th (Group 2)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match76′ sending-off, Patronato (J. Barolin)
During the match90′ opening goal, Chacarita Juniors (1-0)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: M. Cuero (Chacarita Juniors)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.8% to 97.8% success rate, over 137 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes