Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Profesional (Argentine) · Argentina

full time

Monday, 5 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 5 October at 23:00. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Velez Sarsfield

2–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–1

Platense

What Janus-12 said

82%

Velez Sarsfield or draw

74% success over 109 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Velez Sarsfield or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/10, 21:48.

Sealed on 05/10, 23:00announced on 21/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

43% success over 109 matches in this league
57%✗

Clausura - Group A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Instituto	11	8	1	2	+9	25
2	Velez Sarsfield	11	5	6	0	+6	21
3	Defensa y Justicia	11	6	3	2	+5	21
4	Boca Juniors	11	5	5	1	+6	20
5	Lanus	11	5	2	4	+4	17
6	Newells Old Boys	11	4	5	2	+3	17
7	Gimnasia M.	11	5	2	4	+2	17
8	Independiente	11	5	2	4	-1	17
9	Estudiantes L.P.	11	4	1	6	+2	13
10	Union de Santa Fe	11	4	1	6	-2	13
11	Dep. Riestra	11	2	5	4	-2	11
12	San Lorenzo	11	3	2	6	-7	11
13	Platense	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Central Cordoba	11	2	3	6	-6	9
15	Talleres Cordoba	11	2	2	7	-7	8

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Velez Sarsfield or draw82%held
- Velez Sarsfield took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.
- Velez Sarsfield were never behind.
Velez Sarsfield to win57%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Platense scored in the 88th minute.
- Velez Sarsfield chased the score almost all match: Platense scored as early as the 7th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVelez Sarsfield 2nd, Platense 13th (Clausura - Group A)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Velez Sarsfield (1-0)
During the match7′ equaliser, Platense (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match54′ Velez Sarsfield retake the lead (2-1)
During the match88′ equaliser, Platense (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Velez Sarsfield or draw” goes from 74.3% to 74.5% success rate, over 110 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Velez Sarsfield on the left, Platense on the right.

First half

5'Goal · Ronaldo Martinez
Goal · Bautista Merlini7'
9'Substitution · Manuel Lanzini ⇄ Diego Valdés
14'Substitution · Juan Cruz Policella ⇄ Simón Escobar
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Kevin Retamar43'
Missed penalty · Agustin Lagos45+1'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

54'Goal · Ronaldo Martinez (assist : Simón Escobar)
Substitution · Maximiliano Amarfil ⇄ Ivan Gómez65'
Substitution · Bautista Merlini ⇄ Franco Zapiola Yamartino65'
Substitution · Guido Mainero ⇄ Gastón Togni65'
70'Substitution · Thiago Aguirre ⇄ Luca Feler
Substitution · Bruno Christian Sepulveda ⇄ Gonzalo Lencina71'
Yellow card · Tomás Silva79'
Yellow card · Ivan Gómez84'
Goal · Franco Zapiola Yamartino (assist : Agustin Lagos)88'
Substitution · Kevin Retamar ⇄ Juan Carlos Gauto89'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Velez Sarsfield or draw82%held
- Velez Sarsfield took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.
- Velez Sarsfield were never behind.
Velez Sarsfield to win57%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Platense scored in the 88th minute.
- Velez Sarsfield chased the score almost all match: Platense scored as early as the 7th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVelez Sarsfield 2nd, Platense 13th (Clausura - Group A)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Velez Sarsfield (1-0)
During the match7′ equaliser, Platense (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match54′ Velez Sarsfield retake the lead (2-1)
During the match88′ equaliser, Platense (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Velez Sarsfield or draw” goes from 74.3% to 74.5% success rate, over 110 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Clausura - Group A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes